Friday, February 22, 2008

Johnson & Johnson - (JNJ)

“Johnson & Johnson is engaged in the manufacture and sale of a broad range of products in the health care field in many countries of the world. The company's worldwide business is divided into three segments: Consumer; Pharmaceutical; and Professional.”

Dividend Yield: 2.64%
Dividend Yield 5yr Avg: 1.9 %
ROE levels of above 21% for the past 10 years
Current P/E– 17.3
Projected 2008 P/E –14.3
Projected 2009 P/E – 13.6
4 Star rating from S&P - $74 one year target
Argus rates it a buy with a $75 one year target

Other information:
-44 years of consistent dividend growth.
-3 year average dividend growth rate: 14%
-5 year average dividend growth rate: 15.5%
-5 year average dividend payout ratio: 40%
-Dividends issued to shareowners every quarter since 1944.
-Dividend raised each year for 44 consecutive years.
-Sales have increased each year for 73 consecutive years.
-Double digit Earnings increases for 21 consecutive years.
-44% of sales outside of North America

Calculated Fair Value:
The fair price I calculated for this stock is $67.

(Disclaimer: I currently own shares of JNJ. However, I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own research and make your opinions on when to buy or sell. Nothing I say should be bastardized or construed in any way to be advice.)

171 comments:

messels said...

2.9% is pretty low on the div spectrum. the only upside is it is a stock and could go up in price per share. BUT, how much?

a $1000 today would be about 16 shares (a little more if you can get partial shares). IF the stock gets to $67 per share (vs. $62 today) that would be a paper of $80 but the divs (what you would realistically have access to for reinvestment purposes) is only $28.xx not very much! a high yield CD pays out way more than that; heck even ETFC has a high-yield savings accounts that are much higher than that.

just food for thought. i think there are much more attractive holdings if divs are the goal.

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Messels: The goal is DIVIDEND GROWTH.
JNJ's dividend growth has been clocking at approx. 15%. If you had bought 100 shares in 1995 for 7900.00 (approx), today you would have 400 shares worth 30,000.00 (approx).

JNJ is the type of the stock that you buy and forget.

ps: as of today 80% of my portfolio is in JNJ.

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JNJ is possibly one of the best stocks you can buy, and as the previous poster mentioned you buy it for the ever increasing dividend. Come back in 10 years and tell me that there are better yielding alternatives.

By the same token I would never put more than 10% or 15% of my portfolio in a single stock name.

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