Friday, February 8, 2008

A Correction vs. a Bear

When does a market correction become a bear market? Well according to InvestorWords.com the definition of a bear market is:

“A prolonged period in which investment prices fall, accompanied by widespread pessimism. If the period of falling stock prices is short and immediately follows a period of rising stock prices, it is instead called a correction. Bear markets usually occur when the economy is in a recession and unemployment is high, or when inflation is rising quickly.”

Another general guideline that is used to distinguish a correction from a bear is that a correction can be defined as a 10% decline, while a bear market is a 20% drop. So what do you think correction or bear?

33 comments:

Frog of Finance said...

I would say this is just a correction, at least for now.

If it keeps up for more than three months, than I'll be ready to call it a bear!

Frog

ROK said...

I would tend to agree with Vitaliy Katsenelson who believes that during this decade, we have not been in a bull nor bear market, but rather we've been range bound. In fact, he argues that the only true bear market was during the depression. He claims that we were in range bound markets 1906-24, 1937-50 and of course 1966-82.

MG said...

It is all semantics. Without an adequate definition..who knows. It is similar to technical investing. Are we making lower lows? If so then its likely a bear market. Personally I think if you look at a five year chart of the S&P 500 index this looks like more than a correction. That is if you define a correction as the ones that have occured on a regular basis since 2003.

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